Connect
Related Content
On Twitter
TelecomTV One - News

Is Apple poised to launch an MVNO?

Posted By TelecomTV One , 02 May 2012 | 4 Comments | (1)
Tags: Apple MVNO ipad iPhone AT&T wholesale

It's often posited but thus far it's an option that Apple has failed to take up - why doesn't it become a mobile virtual network operator and entice its fanbois to sign up. This would give Apple full control of the customer experience, something it's always keen to extend? The difference now may be the iPad. By Ian Scales.

Debated wherever telecoms people gather - usually in the pub after an industry event rather than part of the event proceedings:  Why doesn't Apple launch its own MVNO and sell service as an app? It would then have greater control over the entire customer experience, would gain the ability to design tariffs to match what it knows and understands about Apple users' behaviour; and it would win another monetisation point.


Yes, running networks is a complicated business and Apple doesn't have the reach or expertise to do that. But the MVNO  (or white label solution, if you prefer) is the vehicle for that and it can be introduced territory-by-territory where it makes sense. It's designed to get premium branding and superior customer relationships to the front-of-house where they can be charged at a premium, while all the heavy lifting is done by a wholesale telco behind the scenes.

Ah...  but the carriers would never wear it, comes the usual reply. This sort of relationship reduces their role to that of dumb pipe and it's something they're desperate to avoid, especially since they lost so much control over the smartphone market after the launch of the iPhone.  Not going to happen.

That analysis was hotly disputed recently in an address to the Informa MVNO Industry Summit in Barcelona, by wireless industry strategist Whitey Bluestein. According to Bluestein (great name, by the way) it's an obvious next move for Apple and one it's been mulling for years. He says it's a question of 'when' not if'. 

 

As proof Bernstein points to the patent Apple took out way back in 2006 (just pre iPhone)  for 'Dynamic Carrier Selection'.  The idea was for a dynamic MVNO or wholesale arrangement with Apple connected to multiple carriers and then offering access on to users according to best quality/best price and so on over time.

Apple didn't take this plan forward, no doubt partly because its initial soundings would have been greeted with horror by the carriers, but also because in 2006 the US was still a 2G world with both CDMA and GSM fighting it out.

Advertisement


Bluestein says Apple now has the clout to strike wholesale deals with several mobile operators and points out that even the mighty AT&T capitulated to Apple’s terms to become the first iPhone carrier  six years ago. It can pull a similar stroke again because "any reluctance on the carrier’s part to offer Apple a sweetheart wholesale deal would be outweighed by the huge business opportunity presented. It’s a classic case of “The Prisoner’s Dilemma.” The carrier’s biggest fear is that if it says “no”, the business and growth would go to a competing carrier and it would be kicked the curb,"  Bluestein writes in a follow-up article for GigaOm.

Bluestein also points out that Apple has been clashing recently with much of the rest of the industry over the introduction of a nano-SIM whose arrival he says would pave the way for a 'virtual' SIM and the ability to do the remote activation that Apple would need if its 'dynamic carrier selection' approach were to work.

So this time, will Apple go MVNO? It seems to me that two important things have changed to make the move more attractive to it now and in the future.

LTE and IP end-to-end. The  technology Apple really loves is WiFi. An Apple service could most likely adopt a real  hetnet approach with WiFi retaining and extending its heavy lifting role with LTE seamlessly mopping up in the gaps.

iPad. As things currently stand the vast majority (the stats seem to vary) of tablets of all kinds (including iPads) don't have cellular and even if they do, users tend not to go for the costly cell option when their built-in WiFi will just about do.  However that doesn't mean they can't be tempted to take on cell as an alternative when required (like the beer, it reaches the parts other networks can't) if the right costs were presented to them....  perhaps by Apple itself on an innovative tariff?

Whitey Bluestein is certain it will come and he's mapped out a compelling set of steps.

"I see a gradual roll-out. First, they [Apple] will bundle iPads with data plans from wholesale agreements, much like Kindle includes “free, always-connected 3G wireless” with three of their e-readers. Then Apple will offer data plans and international roaming plans through iTunes. And finally, they will negotiate the wholesale deals to bundle iPhones with voice, data, messaging and roaming as a virtual provider. Will they go global? Not all at once. They would start in markets where they could get good wholesale pricing."

Have your say in the box below. My opening bid is...

please sign in to rate this article
48677
 

4 comments (Add Yours) - click here to sign in

(1) 02 May 2012 12:09:19 by Ian Scales

.. quite apart from anything else the idea of the Apple the control freak not only controlling the iPhone/iPad platform (and AppStore) but also the access networks across which everything runs is surely asking for trouble. Anti-trust action anyone?


(2) 02 May 2012 15:41:37 by Andy Williams

Ian,
There is no doubt that wandering out of your home country to find you've zero network access puts a downer on any tablet experience. With an iPad - where user experience is right at the heart of the device and smooths away so many other quirks and foibles - it feels doubly disappointing.

While it's simple in theory to find a provider with a PAYG micro SIM package, in practise this is usually a balls ache. My kids' Kindle, on the other hand, simply works. The network becomes completely invisible (like it should be)but the sense of being connected is omnipresent.

If Apple could pull off a similar feat with the iPad, who'd want a Galaxy?


(3) 02 May 2012 21:50:54 by Francis McInerney

Ian,

Steve Jobs planned an Apple exclusive Wi-Fi net with some PE partners in 2007, but a lot of the technology needed -- that people like BelAir, Ruckus, and Ubiquisys have today -- wasn't there. He dropped it. Cook could easily revive this and has the cash to make it stick.

Also, as Apple knows better than anyone, almost nothing on the power end of the More Curve today uses cellular (as you report on the iPad)and it is hard to imagine that anything coming up on deck (think 4K OTT video) will do so.

This traffic will all bypass cellular entirely. Which is why, at the Corporate Innovation Project in New York, we call Wi-Fi the Dark Energy of Wireless: the invisible force blowing the cellular world apart.

4G carriers already offload as much video and data as they can to Wi-Fi because their core-dependent nets just aren't designed for it. Cisco told us that it expects only 50% of devices to be 4G by 2016 and that cellco revenue and costs will cross going the wrong way that year. Ugly. This is not a space Apple will want to enter.

The space for Apple is ubiquitous and redundant (and cheap) Mac Mini CDNs on every third telephone pole with integrated small cell Wi-Fi. This, with backhaul, is total customer control -- iCloud on steroids -- Apple style. And $5 trillion in core-dependent global telecom plant obsolete at a blow.

The number of folks who don't get this beggars the imagination.


(4) 03 May 2012 12:05:48 by TelecomTV One

Hi Francis - yes WiFi is clearly going to be a major force, probably THE major growth area in wireless access, but it seems to me most likely that we're talking "hetnet" here, rather than one technology replacing another over even the medium term. As Andy points out, cellular tariffed in the right way for tablet users still has a lot going for it.